I did not expect SG of Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah to be capable of doing it with such ease but he nively gave a basic lesson of politics to the some politicians in Lebanon, during his latest speech yesterday.
His acute analysis of the current “state of the state” is remarkable in terms of its awareness of history (something Lebanese are profoundly in denial of). what he basically said is how can the Khezballah give back their weapons when there is no party to whom they could give their weapons. The Lebanese State? controlled by who? The “majority” that is agitating for disarmament when Israeli soldiers are still performing last-minute murderous operations? Can’t these people realize what’s at stake here? Giving back Hezbollah’s weapons right now is akin to telling Israel “Mission accomplished”.
Read Joseph Samaha’s excellent analysis in this regard. I am translating one sentence here:
These forces [14th of march gathering] are trying to appeal to the Israeli “optimists” by stating that what the latter could not accomplish during last month with all the strength deployed, will become reality in the near term thanks to the help of the former!
Giving back the weapons now is putting the Lebanese army in danger, as observed by none other than certain officials in the army! The thirst for power of the 14th of March heteroclite ad-hoc formation knows no limit in its potential to destroy. Didn’t they understand that following US and Israeli directive is literally bad for health?
But here is the crux of Nasrallah’s wisdom yesterday (of course posed indirectly and not spelled as such): the recognition that Hezbollah could have not existed if the State was strong. I want to write about this for some time now, but could not gather my thought. Now is the opportunity: Hezbollah exist because only confessional groups can become strong enough to do something in this country, and as long as there wasn’t any serious effort to create a “national” force, strategic initiatives can only be performed effectively by parochial groups. No one would have dared liberating the south were it not for a group of radical crazily determined people. The state never cared for this part of Lebanon. Until now, many political forces from other regions deep down inside never really understood “the fuss about the liberation of the south”.
You cannot have a disarmament before having a strong state. What a great dilemma! Nasrallah is (maybe after Fouad Chehab) the first Lebanese to actually put unity of ranks as a requirement – and has the power to do so – for the future development of the country. The dilemma is: Relinquish your long cherished goals for power that you can get through the American door, and unite with those you hated all your life in order to see them relinquish what you always feared the most.
Do you think the Americans will let this happen easily? Well, think twice.. the Americans, according to a report in the Newly published newspaper Al-Akhbar are already choosing and picking from available “worthy” Lebanese army officials for the ‘reforming’ of the army in return of which they will give funds for reconstruction. Let the real war begins.